SELF - FULFILLING CREDIT MARKET FREEZES Lucian
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منابع مشابه
Credit Market Imperfection, Labor Supply Complementarity, and Global Indeterminacy
The possibility of sunspot equilibria and endogenous cycles due to self-fulfilling expectations are explored in a one-sector overlapping-generations model with credit market imperfection. It is shown that a strategic complementarity between agent’s optimal labor supply decisions may arise when the credit market is imperfect. Multiplicity of steady states and local indeterminacy of equilibrium c...
متن کاملStock Market Bubbles and Unemployment∗
This paper incorporates endogenous credit constraints in a search model of unemployment. These constraints generate multiple equilibria supported by self-fulfilling beliefs. A stock market bubble exists through a positive feedback loop mechanism. The collapse of the bubble tightens the credit constraints, causing firms to reduce investment and hirings. Unemployed workers are hard to find jobs g...
متن کاملThe Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Credit Default Cycles in the Country's Monetary Market
The main challenge facing the country's banking system is credit default or the possibility of defaulting borrowers from fulfilling their obligations to the banking system, known as credit risk. Therefore to control credit risk, the factors influencing this type of risk must be identified. Several factors affect credit default in the non-government sector. This study examines the asymmetric ef...
متن کاملSelf‐fulfilling Credit Cycles Self-fulfilling Credit Cycles
This paper argues that self-fulfilling beliefs in credit conditions can generate endogenously persistent business cycle dynamics. We develop a tractable dynamic general equilibrium model with idiosyncratic firm productivity shocks. Capital from less productive firms is lent to more productive ones in the form of credit secured by collateral and also as unsecured credit based on reputation. A dy...
متن کاملA Bayesian DSGE Model of Stock Market Bubbles and Business Cycles∗
We present an estimated DSGE model of stock market bubbles and business cycles using Bayesian methods. Bubbles emerge through a positive feedback loop mechanism supported by self-fulfilling beliefs. We identify a sentiment shock which drives the movements of bubbles and is transmitted to the real economy through endogenous credit constraints. This shock explains more than 96 percent of the stoc...
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تاریخ انتشار 2008